Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trinidad and Tobago would win this match.