CONCACAF Nations League | League C

Mar 27, 2023 at 11pm UK

Saint Kitts
2 - 0
Aruba

Freeman (45+2', 80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Saint Kitts and Nevis and Aruba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Kitts and Nevis

Last Game: Saint Martin 1-3 Saint Kitts
Thursday, March 23 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Aruba

Last Game: Aruba 2-3 Saint Kitts
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Aruba win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.

Result
Saint Kitts and Nevis	Draw	Aruba
50.36% ( -0.7)	21.78% ( 0.17)	27.86% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 65.6% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.26% (

-0.39)

33.74% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.43% (

-0.45)

55.57% (

0.45)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.19% (

-0.36)

13.81% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.85% (

-0.72)

41.14% (

0.72)

Aruba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.11% (

0.14)

23.88% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.92% (

0.2)

58.08% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Saint Kitts and Nevis 50.36%

Aruba 27.86%

Draw 21.78%

Saint Kitts and Nevis	Draw	Aruba
2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.36%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.78%	1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.86%