CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 23, 2023 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Pierre-Bertrand Arne 31' goal
  • goal Tiquanny Williams 26'
  • goal Romaine Sawyers 35'
  • goal Harry Panayiotou 89'

Saint Martin vs Saint Kitts and Nevis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Martin

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Jun 13, 2022 12.00am
Saint Kitts 1 - 1 Saint Martin

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Jun 13, 2022 12.00am
Saint Kitts 1 - 1 Saint Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Saint Martin had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Saint Martin win it was 1-0 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.

Result

Saint Martin 12.54% (-0.30)
Draw 17.89% (+0.02)
Saint Kitts and Nevis 69.56% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.93% (-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.06% (-0.81)
Under 2.5 38.94% (+0.81)
Over 3.5 38.74% (-0.85)
Under 3.5 61.26% (+0.86)

Saint Martin Goals

Over 0.5 57.76% (-0.98)
Under 0.5 42.24% (+0.99)
Over 1.5 21.36% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 78.64% (+0.87)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5 89.9% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 10.1% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 66.75% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 33.25% (+0.34)

Score analysis

Saint Martin 12.54%
Draw 17.89%
Saint Kitts and Nevis 69.56%
Saint Martin
1-0 @ 3.68% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 3.63% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 1.58% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 1.04% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.43% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.27% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.13)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 17.89%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0-2 @ 11.21% (+0.30)
0-1 @ 9.78% (+0.31)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 8.57% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 7.39% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 4.91% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 4.23% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.12)
0-5 @ 2.25% (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.94% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.08)
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 69.56%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 13, 2022 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Warner Park Football Stadium
  • Kalonji Clarke 90'+3' goal
  • Vinceroy Nelson 90'+4' goal
  • goal 34'
  • goal Pierre-Bertrand Arne 34'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Dalmat 90'+1'