/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fusalog.png)
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Chris Richards
12'
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Folarin Balogun
34'
Canada vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Canada had a probability of 38.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.06%) and 2-3 (5.02%). The likeliest Canada win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
Result
Canada
38.29%
Draw
20.57%
USA
41.14%
Both Teams to Score:
75.25%
Goals
Over 2.5
76.82%
Under 2.5
23.18%
Over 3.5
57.5%
Under 3.5
42.5%
Over 4.5
37.97%
Under 4.5
62.03%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5
86.25%
Under 0.5
13.74%
Over 1.5
58.98%
Under 1.5
41.02%
USA Goals
Over 0.5
87.24%
Under 0.5
12.76%
Over 1.5
60.97%
Under 1.5
39.03%
Score analysis
Canada
38.29%
Draw
20.57%
USA
41.14%
Canada
2-1
@
7.11%
3-2 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 4.7%
1-0 @ 3.48%
2-0 @ 3.45%
4-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 2.33%
3-0 @ 2.28%
4-3 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 38.29%
3-2 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 4.7%
1-0 @ 3.48%
2-0 @ 3.45%
4-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 2.33%
3-0 @ 2.28%
4-3 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 38.29%
Draw
2-2
@
7.32%
1-1 @ 7.17%
3-3 @ 3.32%
0-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.57%
1-1 @ 7.17%
3-3 @ 3.32%
0-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.57%
USA
1-2
@
7.38%
1-3 @ 5.06%
2-3 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 3.72%
0-1 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.55%
3-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.31%
1-5 @ 1.07%
2-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 41.14%
1-3 @ 5.06%
2-3 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 3.72%
0-1 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.55%
3-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.31%
1-5 @ 1.07%
2-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 41.14%
