Canada national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Final
Jun 19, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Stadium
USA national football team

Canada
0 - 2
USA

FT(HT: 0-2)
Richards (12'), Balogun (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Canada and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Canada had a probability of 38.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.06%) and 2-3 (5.02%). The likeliest Canada win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
CanadaDrawUSA
38.29%20.57%41.14%
Both teams to score 75.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.82%23.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.5%42.5%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25%13.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.98%41.02%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.24%12.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.97%39.03%
Score Analysis
    Canada 38.29%
    USA 41.14%
    Draw 20.57%
CanadaDrawUSA
2-1 @ 7.11%
3-2 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 4.7%
1-0 @ 3.48%
2-0 @ 3.45%
4-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 2.33%
3-0 @ 2.28%
4-3 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.13%
5-2 @ 0.95%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 38.29%
2-2 @ 7.32%
1-1 @ 7.17%
3-3 @ 3.32%
0-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.57%
1-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 5.06%
2-3 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 3.72%
0-1 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.55%
3-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.31%
1-5 @ 1.07%
2-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 41.14%

How you voted: Canada vs USA

Canada
47.7%
USA
52.3%
88
rhs 2.0


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