Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 79.62%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 4.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.88%) and 3-0 (13.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.71%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.