Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 78.02%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 6.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.11%) and 3-0 (12.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.