CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage

Jul 3, 2023 at 12am UK

Bank of America Stadium

USA
6 - 0
Trin. & Tob.

Ferreira (14', 14', 38', 38', 45+3' pen., 45+3' pen.), Cowell (65', 65'), Busio (79', 79'), Vazquez (90+4', 90+4')

FT(HT: 6-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between USA and Trinidad and Tobago, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

CONCACAF Gold Cup

Last Game: Saint Kitts 0-6 USA
Thursday, June 29 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	USA	2	6	4
2	Jamaica	2	3	4
3	Trinidad and Tobago	2	0	3
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	2	-9	0

Trinidad and Tobago

All competitions

CONCACAF Gold Cup

Last Game: Jamaica 4-1 Trin. & Tob.
Thursday, June 29 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	USA	2	6	4
2	Jamaica	2	3	4
3	Trinidad and Tobago	2	0	3
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	2	-9	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 78.02%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 6.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.11%) and 3-0 (12.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Trinidad and Tobago
78.02% ( -1.68)	15.77% ( 0.31)	6.21% ( 1.37)

Both teams to score 32.99% (

6.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.42% (

4.06)

49.58% (

-4.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.39% (

3.53)

71.61% (

-3.53)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.24% (

0.64)

10.76% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.26% (

1.4)

34.75% (

-1.4)

Trinidad and Tobago Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.97% (

6.96)

63.03% (

-6.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.88% (

2.84)

92.13% (

-2.84)

Score Analysis

USA 78.01%

Trinidad and Tobago 6.21%

Draw 15.77%

USA	Draw	Trinidad and Tobago
2-0 @ 16.85% ( -1.96) 1-0 @ 15.11% ( -2.21) 3-0 @ 12.52% ( -1.1) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 1.07) 4-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.92) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.58) 5-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.47) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 78.01%	1-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.8) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -1.19) 2-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.6) Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.77%	0-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.51) Other @ 1.47% Total : 6.21%