CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage

Jun 29, 2023 at 12.30am UK

CityPark

Jamaica
4 - 1
Trin. & Tob.

Gray (14', 14', 29', 29'), Bailey (17', 17'), Odile Richards (90+2'), Richards (90+2')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Rampersad (49', 49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions

CONCACAF Gold Cup

Last Game: USA 1-1 Jamaica
Sunday, June 25 at 3am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Trinidad and Tobago	1	3	3
2	USA	1	0	1
3	Jamaica	1	0	1
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	1	-3	0

Trinidad and Tobago

All competitions

CONCACAF Gold Cup

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 3-0 Saint Kitts
Sunday, June 25 at 9pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Trinidad and Tobago	1	3	3
2	USA	1	0	1
3	Jamaica	1	0	1
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	1	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.

Result
Jamaica	Draw	Trinidad and Tobago
46.29% ( 0.27)	28.54% ( -0.19)	25.18% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 42.27% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.84% (

0.55)

63.16% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.42% (

0.39)

82.58% (

-0.39)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.57% (

0.4)

27.43% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.09% (

0.52)

62.91% (

-0.52)

Trinidad and Tobago Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.25% (

0.24)

41.75% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.78% (

0.21)

78.22% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Jamaica 46.28%

Trinidad and Tobago 25.18%

Draw 28.53%

Jamaica	Draw	Trinidad and Tobago
1-0 @ 14.81% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 46.28%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.53%	0-1 @ 10% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.18% Total : 25.18%