CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 28, 2023 12.00am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT BMO Field
  • Lucas Cavallini 49' goal
  • Richie Laryea 70' goal
  • goal Thierry Ambrose 23'
  • goal Jacen Russell-Rowe 90'+3' (OG)

Canada vs Guadeloupe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions

Guadeloupe

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Guadeloupe win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Canada 54.45% (-0.04)
Draw 23.73% (+0.01)
Guadeloupe 21.81% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.09% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.44% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 48.55% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 29.32% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 70.68% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 14.2% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.79% (-0.02)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 82.27% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.72% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 51.61% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 48.38% (+0.01)

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5 63.31% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 36.69% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 26.52% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 73.47% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Canada 54.45%
Draw 23.73%
Guadeloupe 21.81%
Canada
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 54.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 23.73%
Guadeloupe
0-1 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.66% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.81%