CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Mar 23, 2023 at 11pm UK
 
Antigua and Barbuda national football team

Guadeloupe
0 - 1
Antigua

FT(HT: 0-0)
Nathaniel-George (57')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guadeloupe

Last Game: Guadeloupe 2-1 Barbados
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Antigua and Barbuda

Last Game: Cuba 3-1 Antigua
Sunday, June 12 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for an Antigua and Barbuda win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
GuadeloupeDrawAntigua and Barbuda
57.83% (0.33300000000001 0.33)22.75% (-0.135 -0.13)19.42% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 51.55% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53% (0.298 0.3)47.48% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.274 0.27)69.69% (-0.273 -0.27)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87% (0.22200000000001 0.22)16.14% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.43% (0.397 0.4)45.57% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Antigua and Barbuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.47% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)38.53% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72% (-0.038 -0.04)75.28% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Guadeloupe 57.83%
    Antigua and Barbuda 19.42%
    Draw 22.75%
GuadeloupeDrawAntigua and Barbuda
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.29% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 6% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 57.83%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.75%
0-1 @ 5.93% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 19.42%

Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 12am
Antigua
1-0
Guadeloupe
Weston (55')
Bishop (43'), Benjamin (45+2'), Bowry (65'), Graham (90+3')

Gravillon (45+3'), Baron (61'), Rouyard (65')