US Virgin Islands national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | First Round
Mar 27, 2021 at 11pm UK
 
Antigua and Barbuda national football team

US Virgin Islands
0 - 3
Antigua


McGuiness (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Byers (26'), Griffith (34' pen., 42')
Stevens (49')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between US Virgin Islands and Antigua and Barbuda.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.65%) and 3-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
US Virgin IslandsDrawAntigua and Barbuda
45.71%20.66%33.63%
Both teams to score 73.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.24%24.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.39%44.61%
US Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.05%11.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.65%37.35%
Antigua and Barbuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67%16.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08%45.92%
Score Analysis
    US Virgin Islands 45.71%
    Antigua and Barbuda 33.63%
    Draw 20.66%
US Virgin IslandsDrawAntigua and Barbuda
2-1 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 5.65%
3-2 @ 5.12%
2-0 @ 4.4%
1-0 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 3%
4-2 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-3 @ 1.64%
5-1 @ 1.28%
5-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 45.71%
1-1 @ 7.52%
2-2 @ 7.23%
3-3 @ 3.09%
0-0 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 20.66%
1-2 @ 6.81%
2-3 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 4.11%
0-1 @ 3.54%
0-2 @ 3.21%
2-4 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 1.86%
3-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 33.63%