Cuba national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Mar 26, 2023 at 9pm UK
 

Cuba
1 - 0
Guadeloupe

Matos (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Cuba and Guadeloupe.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Barbados 0-1 Cuba
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 0-1 Antigua
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Guadeloupe win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuba in this match.

Result
CubaDrawGuadeloupe
57.22% (0.091000000000001 0.09)22.57% (-0.023 -0.02)20.21% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.41% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)45.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)67.96% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.028000000000006 0.03)15.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (0.052 0.05)44.77% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)36.64% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)73.43% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cuba 57.22%
    Guadeloupe 20.21%
    Draw 22.57%
CubaDrawGuadeloupe
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.11% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 57.22%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.21%

Head to Head
Jun 3, 2022 1am
Guadeloupe
2-1
Cuba
G (15'), Ambrose (90', 90')
Ambrose (47'), M (77')
Reyes (74')
Piedra (45'), Cavafe (51'), Paradela (80')