World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 13, 2023 at 3am UK

Estadio Nacional de Lima

Peru
0 - 1
Brazil

Cartagena (45+7'), Cartagena (45+7'), Tapia (48'), Tapia (48'), Lopez (59'), Lopez (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Richarlison (29'), Marquinhos (90', 90')
Raphinha (42'), Raphinha (42'), Guimaraes (61'), Guimaraes (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's World Cup qualifying clash against Peru.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Paraguay 0-0 Peru
Thursday, September 7 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	1	4	3
2	Uruguay	1	2	3
3	Argentina	1	1	3
4	Colombia	1	1	3
5	Paraguay	1	0	1
6	Peru	1	0	1
7	Venezuela	1	-1	0
8	Ecuador	1	-1	0
9	Chile	1	-2	0
10	Bolivia	1	-4	0

Brazil

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Brazil 5-1 Bolivia
Saturday, September 9 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	1	4	3
2	Uruguay	1	2	3
3	Argentina	1	1	3
4	Colombia	1	1	3
5	Paraguay	1	0	1
6	Peru	1	0	1
7	Venezuela	1	-1	0
8	Ecuador	1	-1	0
9	Chile	1	-2	0
10	Bolivia	1	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.27%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brazil in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brazil.

Result
Peru	Draw	Brazil
18.89% ( 0.09)	27.62% ( 0.25)	53.49% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 38% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.97% (

-0.62)

65.03% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.09% (

-0.44)

83.91% (

0.44)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.54% (

-0.26)

49.45% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.72% (

-0.19)

84.27% (

0.19)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17% (

-0.44)

24.82% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.59% (

-0.61)

59.41% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Peru 18.89%

Brazil 53.48%

Draw 27.61%

Peru	Draw	Brazil
1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 18.89%	0-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.28) 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.34% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 17.1% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 11.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.99% Total : 53.48%