Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.27%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brazil in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brazil.