World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 13, 2023 3.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
  • Renato Tapia 48' yellowcard
  • Renato Tapia 48' yellowcard
  • Wilder Cartagena 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Wilder Cartagena 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Marcos Lopez 59' yellowcard
  • Marcos Lopez 59' yellowcard
  • goal Richarlison 29'
  • yellowcard Raphinha 42'
  • yellowcard Raphinha 42'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 61'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 61'
  • goal Marquinhos 90'
  • goal Marquinhos 90'

Peru vs Brazil - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Sep 7, 2023 11.30pm
Paraguay 0 - 0 Peru

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Sep 9, 2023 1.45am
Brazil 5 - 1 Bolivia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.27%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brazil in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brazil.

Result

Peru 18.89% (+0.10)
Draw 27.62% (+0.26)
Brazil 53.49% (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

38% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.97% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 65.03% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 16.09% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 83.91% (+0.44)
Over 4.5 6.19% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 93.81% (+0.24)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 50.54% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 49.45% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 15.72% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 84.27% (+0.19)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5 75.17% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 24.82% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 40.59% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 59.41% (+0.62)

Score analysis

Peru 18.89%
Draw 27.61%
Brazil 53.48%
Peru
1-0 @ 8.64% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 4.24% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 18.89%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.27% (+0.28)
1-1 @ 12.04% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 27.61%
Brazil
0-1 @ 17.1% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 11.91% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 5.54% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 53.48%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 10, 2021 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Everton Ribeiro 15' goal
  • Neymar 40' goal
  • Casemiro 44' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paqueta 57' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 66' yellowcard
  • Neymar 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anderson Santamaria 30'
  • yellowcard Renato Tapia 35'
  • yellowcard Yoshimar Yotun 38'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Costa 63'
  • yellowcard Christofer Gonzales 65'
Copa America
Jul 6, 2021 12.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Paqueta 35' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoshimar Yotun 56'
  • yellowcard Marcos Lopez 90'
Copa America
Jun 18, 2021 1.00am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alex Sandro 12' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 59' yellowcard
  • Neymar 68' goal
  • Everton Ribeiro 89' goal
  • Richarlison 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Ramos 23'
  • yellowcard Yoshimar Yotun 44'
  • yellowcard Martin Tavara 82'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 14, 2020 1.00am
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Andre Carrillo 5' goal
  • Renato Tapia 37' yellowcard
  • Christofer Gonzales 54' yellowcard
  • Renato Tapia 59' goal
  • Carlos Alberto Caceda Oyaguez 86' redcard
  • Carlos Zambrano 86' redcard
  • goal Neymar 28'
  • goal Richarlison 64'
  • goal Neymar 83'
  • goal Neymar 90'+4'
International Friendlies
Sep 11, 2019 4.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum (Los Angeles, California)
  • Alex Sandro 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Aquino 45'
  • goal Luis Abram 85'
Copa America
Jul 7, 2019 9.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio do Maracana, Rio de Janeiro
  • Everton 15' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 30' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 45' goal
  • Thiago Silva 53' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 70' redcard
  • Richarlison 88' goal
  • Richarlison 91' yellowcard
  • goal Paolo Guerrero 44'
  • yellowcard Renato Tapia 49'
  • yellowcard Carlos Zambrano 68'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 84'