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Felix Torres
45'+5'
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Felix Torres
61'
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Angelo Preciado
78'
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Carlos Gruezo
90'+7'
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Agustin Canobbio
38'
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Nicolas de la Cruz
42'
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Mathias Olivera
64'
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Matias Vina
90'+2'
Ecuador vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 45.34%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ecuador in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ecuador.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Ecuador Goals
Uruguay Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 45.33%
0-0 @ 12.31% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.22%
1-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 25.43%
Jose Quinteros
24'