World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
Wilker Angel
9'
-
Jose Andres Martinez
79'
-
6'
-
Piero Hincapie
12'
-
Jose Cifuentes
31'
-
Alan Franco
79'
Venezuela vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (12.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Venezuela
37.59%
▲
(+1.84)
Draw
30.63%
▲
(+0.08)
Ecuador
31.78%
▼
(-1.91)
Both Teams to Score:
40.23%
▼
(-0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5
32.79%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 2.5
67.22%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 3.5
14.59%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 3.5
85.41%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 4.5
5.42%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
94.58%
▲
(+0.15)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5
65.5%
▲
(+1.01)
Under 0.5
34.51%
▼
(-1.00)
Over 1.5
28.78%
▲
(+1.06)
Under 1.5
71.22%
▼
(-1.05)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5
61.43%
▼
(-1.63)
Under 0.5
38.57%
▲
(+1.64)
Over 1.5
24.69%
▼
(-1.59)
Under 1.5
75.32%
▲
(+1.60)
Score analysis
Venezuela
37.59%
Draw
30.62%
Ecuador
31.78%
Venezuela
1-0
@
14.16%
▲
(+0.59)
2-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.51)
2-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.59%
2-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.51)
2-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.59%
Draw
1-1
@
13.49%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 13.3% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.62%
0-0 @ 13.3% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.62%
Ecuador
0-1
@
12.68%
▼
(-0.39)
1-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.31)
0-2 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.47)
1-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 31.78%
1-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.31)
0-2 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.47)
1-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 31.78%