Oct 18, 2023 12.30am

0

0

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

Piero Hincapie 33'
Piero Hincapie 33'
Carlos Gruezo 41'
Carlos Gruezo 41'

Yerson Mosquera 9'
Yerson Mosquera 9'
Davinson Sanchez 25'
Davinson Sanchez 25'
Jhon Arias 27'
Jhon Arias 27'
38'
Carlos Cuesta 63'
Carlos Cuesta 77'
Carlos Cuesta 77'

Ecuador vs Colombia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Ecuador vs. Colombia - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Ecuador vs. Colombia - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 15 Oct 2023 11:57

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions

W
W
L
W
W
W

World Cup Qualifying - South America

W
W
L

Last game

Oct 13, 2023 12.00am

Bolivia 1 - 2 Ecuador

Colombia

All competitions

D
D
W
W
W
W

World Cup Qualifying - South America

D
D
W

Last game

Oct 12, 2023 9.30pm

Colombia 2 - 2 Uruguay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 21.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.39%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Ecuador 47.24% ▲ (+0.88)

Draw 30.82% ▼ (-0.04)

Colombia 21.94% ▼ (-0.85)

Both Teams to Score:

34.7% ▼ (-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5 28.85% ▼ (-0.38)

Under 2.5 71.15% ▲ (+0.38)

Over 3.5 12.04% ▼ (-0.24)

Under 3.5 87.96% ▲ (+0.24)

Over 4.5 4.18% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 4.5 95.82% ▲ (+0.11)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5 69.07% ▲ (+0.28)

Under 0.5 30.93% ▼ (-0.28)

Over 1.5 32.78% ▲ (+0.33)

Under 1.5 67.22% ▼ (-0.33)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5 50.23% ▼ (-1.12)

Under 0.5 49.77% ▲ (+1.12)

Over 1.5 15.5% ▼ (-0.80)

Under 1.5 84.49% ▲ (+0.80)

Score analysis

Ecuador 47.23%

Draw 30.82%

Colombia 21.93%

Ecuador

1-0 @ 18.06% ▲ (+0.39)

2-0 @ 10.59% ▲ (+0.31)

2-1 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.03)

3-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.15)

3-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)

4-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.06)

3-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 1.92%

Total : 47.23%

Draw

0-0 @ 15.39% ▲ (+0.22)

1-1 @ 12.6% ▼ (-0.14)

2-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.10)

Other @ 0.25%

Total : 30.82%

Colombia

0-1 @ 10.74% ▼ (-0.19)

1-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.20)

0-2 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.20)

1-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 2.03%

Total : 21.93%

Head to Head

Oct 14, 2021 10.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Pervis Estupinan 54'
Angel Mena 77'

Jun 14, 2021 1.00am

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Mateus Uribe 25'
Edwin Cardona 42'
Daniel Munoz 79'
Rafael Borre 90'

Enner Valencia 87'

Nov 17, 2020 9.00pm

6

1

HT : 4 1

FT

Robert Arboleda 7'
Angel Mena 9'
Michael Estrada 32'
Xavier Arreaga 39'
Renato Ibarra 45'+3'
Pedro Perlaza 51'
Gonzalo Plata 60'
Jhegson Mendez 68'
Gonzalo Plata 78'
Gonzalo Plata 80'
Pervis Estupinan 90'+1'

Jefferson Lerma 13'
James Rodriguez 45'+1'
Jeison Murillo 53'
Juan Cuadrado 66'
Luis Suarez 86'
Frank Fabra 90'

Nov 20, 2019 1.00am

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)

Xavier Arreaga 65'

Mateus Uribe 42'
Wilmar Barrios 80'

Mar 28, 2017 10.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio OlImpico Atahualpa

James Rodriguez 20'
Juan Cuadrado 34'

Form Data

Bolivia 1 - 2 Ecuador

Ecuador 2 - 1 Uruguay

Argentina 1 - 0 Ecuador

Ecuador 3 - 1 Costa Rica

Ecuador 1 - 0 Bolivia

Australia 1 - 2 Ecuador

Colombia 2 - 2 Uruguay

Chile 0 - 0 Colombia

Colombia 1 - 0 Venezuela

Germany 0 - 2 Colombia

Colombia 1 - 0 Iraq

Japan 1 - 2 Colombia