World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2023 at 9.30pm UK

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Colombia
2 - 2
Uruguay

Rodriguez (35'), Uribe (52')
Vargas (8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Olivera (47'), Nunez (90+1' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Chile 0-0 Colombia
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	2	5	6
2	Argentina	2	4	6
3	Colombia	2	1	4
4	Uruguay	2	1	3
5	Ecuador	2	0	3
6	Venezuela	2	0	3
7	Paraguay	2	-1	1
8	Peru	2	-1	1
9	Chile	2	-2	1
10	Bolivia	2	-7	0

Uruguay

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	2	5	6
2	Argentina	2	4	6
3	Colombia	2	1	4
4	Uruguay	2	1	3
5	Ecuador	2	0	3
6	Venezuela	2	0	3
7	Paraguay	2	-1	1
8	Peru	2	-1	1
9	Chile	2	-2	1
10	Bolivia	2	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.25%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Uruguay
65.51% ( 1.11)	22.04% ( -0.26)	12.45% ( -0.86)

Both teams to score 39.01% (

-1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.74% (

-0.71)

56.25% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.7% (

-0.58)

77.29% (

0.58)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.42% (

0.13)

16.57% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.63% (

0.24)

46.36% (

-0.24)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.76% (

-1.85)

53.24% (

1.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.19% (

-1.2)

86.8% (

1.2)

Score Analysis

Colombia 65.51%

Uruguay 12.45%

Draw 22.04%

Colombia	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 15.86% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.16% Total : 65.51%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.04%	0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.45%