World Cup Qualifying - South America
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Camilo Vargas
8'
-
James Rodriguez
35'
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Mateus Uribe
52'
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Camilo Vargas
87'
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Mathias Olivera
47'
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Darwin Nunez
90'+1'
Colombia vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.25%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Colombia
65.51%
▲
(+1.12)
Draw
22.04%
▼
(-0.26)
Uruguay
12.45%
▼
(-0.87)
Both Teams to Score:
39.01%
▼
(-1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.74%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 2.5
56.25%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 3.5
22.7%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 3.5
77.29%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 4.5
9.93%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 4.5
90.06%
▲
(+0.36)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5
83.42%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
16.57%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
53.63%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
46.36%
▼
(-0.24)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
46.76%
▼
(-1.85)
Under 0.5
53.24%
▲
(+1.85)
Over 1.5
13.19%
▼
(-1.20)
Under 1.5
86.8%
▲
(+1.20)
Score analysis
Colombia
65.51%
Draw
22.04%
Uruguay
12.45%
Colombia
1-0
@
15.86%
▲
(+0.50)
2-0 @ 14.25% ▲ (+0.51)
2-1 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.34)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.13)
5-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 65.51%
2-0 @ 14.25% ▲ (+0.51)
2-1 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.34)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.13)
5-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 65.51%
Draw
1-1
@
10%
▼
(-0.23)
0-0 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.04%
0-0 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.04%
Uruguay
0-1
@
5.56%
▼
(-0.16)
1-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 12.45%
1-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 12.45%