World Cup Qualifying - South America
Argentina
Oct 13, 2023 12.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Paraguay
  • Nicolas Otamendi 3' goal
  • Nicolas Otamendi 3' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 7' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 21'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 21'
  • yellowcard Adam Bareiro 50'
  • yellowcard Adam Bareiro 50'

Argentina vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 9.00pm
Bolivia 0 - 3 Argentina

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 11.00pm
Venezuela 1 - 0 Paraguay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 85.6%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 3.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.96%) and 1-0 (12.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result

Argentina 85.6% ▼ (-0.74)
Draw 10.95% ▲ (+0.53)
Paraguay 3.45% ▲ (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

29.65% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.86% ▼ (-1.30)
Under 2.5 41.14% ▲ (+1.30)
Over 3.5 36.46% ▼ (-1.33)
Under 3.5 63.54% ▲ (+1.33)
Over 4.5 19.37% ▼ (-1.03)
Under 4.5 80.63% ▲ (+1.03)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 93.07% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 0.5 6.93% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 1.5 74.57% ▼ (-1.14)
Under 1.5 25.42% ▲ (+1.13)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 31.86% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 0.5 68.14% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 5.72% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 94.28% ▼ (-0.09)

Score analysis

Argentina 85.58%
Draw 10.95%
Paraguay 3.45%
Argentina
2-0 @ 16.82% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 14.96% ▼ (-0.16)
1-0 @ 12.6% ▲ (+0.45)
4-0 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.34)
2-1 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.31)
4-1 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.10)
6-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.20)
5-1 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 85.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.21)
0-0 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.28)
2-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 10.95%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 3.45%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Paraguay
Oct 8, 2021 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentina
  • Mathias Villasanti 21' yellowcard
  • Junior Alonso 65' yellowcard
Copa America
Argentina
Jun 22, 2021 1.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Paraguay
  • Papu 10' goal
  • Leandro Paredes 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 16'
  • yellowcard Angel Cardozo 78'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Argentina
Nov 13, 2020 12.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Paraguay
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 41' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 45' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Montiel 78' yellowcard
  • goal Angel Romero 21'
  • yellowcard Angel Romero 30'
  • yellowcard Angel Cardozo 47'
  • yellowcard Hernan Perez 76'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almiron 90'+1'
Copa America
Argentina
Jun 20, 2019 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Mineirao, Belo Horizonte
Paraguay
  • Franco Armani 45' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 57' goal
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 80' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 31'
  • goal Richard Sanchez 37'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rojas 43'
  • yellowcard Ivan Piris 55'
Copa America
Argentina
Jul 1, 2015 12.30am
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT Concepcion
Paraguay
  • Marcos Rojo 12' yellowcard
  • Lucas Biglia 13' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rojo 15' goal
  • Javier Pastore 27' goal
  • Angel di Maria 47' goal
  • Angel di Maria 53' goal
  • Sergio Aguero 80' goal
  • Gonzalo Higuain 83' goal
  • yellowcard Victor Caceres 13'
  • yellowcard Paulo Da Silva 30'
  • goal Lucas Barrios 43'
  • yellowcard Richard Ortiz 59'
Copa America
Argentina
Jun 13, 2015 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio La Portada, La Serena
Paraguay
  • Sergio Aguero 29' goal
  • Lionel Messi 36' goal
  • Facundo Roncaglia 41' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Aguilar 24'
  • yellowcard Richard Ortiz 39'
  • yellowcard Derlis Gonzalez 48'
  • goal Nelson Valdez 60'
  • yellowcard Victor Caceres 74'
  • goal Lucas Barrios 90'
  • yellowcard Lucas Barrios 90'

Form Data

Bolivia 0 - 3 Argentina
Argentina 1 - 0 Ecuador
Indonesia 0 - 2 Argentina
Argentina 2 - 0 Australia
Argentina 7 - 0 Curacao
Argentina 2 - 0 Panama
Venezuela 1 - 0 Paraguay
Paraguay 0 - 0 Peru
Paraguay 2 - 0 Nicaragua
Chile 3 - 2 Paraguay
Colombia 2 - 0 Paraguay
Peru 1 - 0 Paraguay