International Friendlies
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Lionel Messi
20'
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Nicolas Gonzalez
23'
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Lionel Messi
33'
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Enzo Fernandez
35'
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Lionel Messi
37'
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Angel di Maria
78'
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Gonzalo Montiel
87'
Argentina vs Curacao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 83.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 5.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 4-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.27%), while for a Curacao win it was 0-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
Result
Argentina
83.47%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
11.14%
▲
(+0.04)
Curacao
5.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
44.91%
▼
(-0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.33%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 2.5
30.67%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 3.5
48%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
52%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 4.5
28.93%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 4.5
71.07%
▲
(+0.23)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5
94.68%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
5.32%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
79.08%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
20.92%
▲
(+0.14)
Curacao Goals
Over 0.5
47.43%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
52.56%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
13.63%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
86.37%
▲
(+0.11)
Score analysis
Argentina
83.46%
Draw
11.14%
Curacao
5.39%
Argentina
2-0
@
12.03%
▲
(+0.07)
3-0 @ 11.76% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
7-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 83.46%
3-0 @ 11.76% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
7-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 83.46%
Draw
1-1
@
5.27%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 11.14%
0-0 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 11.14%
Curacao
0-1
@
1.8%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 5.39%
1-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 5.39%