Friendlies 1

Mar 29, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

Argentina
7 - 0
Curacao

Messi (20', 33', 37'), Gonzalez (23'), Fernandez (35'), di Maria (78'), Montiel (87')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Reaction

Argentina's Lionel Messi celebrates scoring their second goal on March 23, 2023

Lionel Messi scores 100th Argentina goal in 17-minute hat-trick against Curacao

Lionel Messi scores his 100th Argentina goal with a 17-minute hat-trick in a dominant 7-0 friendly win over Curacao.

Mar 29, 01:36

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Argentina and Curacao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's international friendly with Curacao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Panama
Thursday, March 23 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	3	6
2	Poland	3	0	4
3	Mexico	3	-1	4
4	Saudi Arabia	3	-2	3

Curacao

All competitions

Last Game: Curacao 0-2 Canada
Sunday, March 26 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 83.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 5.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 4-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.27%), while for a Curacao win it was 0-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Curacao
83.47% ( -0.04)	11.14% ( 0.04)	5.39% ( 0)

Both teams to score 44.91% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.33% (

-0.21)

30.67% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48% (

-0.25)

52% (

0.25)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.68% (

-0.04)

5.32% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.08% (

-0.14)

20.92% (

0.14)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.43% (

-0.15)

52.56% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.63% (

-0.1)

86.37% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Argentina 83.46%

Curacao 5.39%

Draw 11.14%

Argentina	Draw	Curacao
2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 8.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 83.46%	1-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 11.14%	0-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 5.39%