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Lionel Messi
2'
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German Pezzella
68'
Argentina vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 79.11%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Australia had a probability of 6.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.15%) and 3-0 (12.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Argentina Goals
Australia Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 12.15% ▼ (-0.39)
3-0 @ 12.13% ▲ (+0.23)
2-1 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.15)
5-0 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.24)
5-1 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.14)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 79.1%
0-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.29)
2-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 14.38%
1-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 6.51%