World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 12, 2023 9.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Roberto Fernandez 15' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Villamil 24' yellowcard
  • Roberto Fernandez 39' redcard
  • Jairo Quinteros 69' yellowcard
  • Carmelo Algaranaz 86' yellowcard
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 31'
  • goal Nicolas Tagliafico 42'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 83'

Bolivia vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Sep 9, 2023 1.45am
Brazil 5 - 1 Bolivia

Argentina

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Sep 8, 2023 1.00am
Argentina 1 - 0 Ecuador

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.63%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result

Bolivia 13.64% (-0.12)
Draw 20.67% (+0.13)
Argentina 65.69% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.83% (-0.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.29% (-0.77)
Under 2.5 48.71% (+0.77)
Over 3.5 29.18% (-0.71)
Under 3.5 70.82% (+0.71)
Over 4.5 14.1% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 85.89% (+0.48)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5 53.3% (-0.65)
Under 0.5 46.7% (+0.65)
Over 1.5 17.74% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 82.26% (+0.50)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 85.98% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 14.01% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 58.45% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 41.55% (+0.49)

Score analysis

Bolivia 13.64%
Draw 20.67%
Argentina 65.69%
Bolivia
1-0 @ 4.98% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 3.73% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 13.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.54% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 20.67%
Argentina
0-1 @ 12.86% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 12.63% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 8.28% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.09)
0-4 @ 4.07% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.1% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.08)
0-5 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.22% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 65.69%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 10, 2021 12.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lionel Messi 14' goal
  • Lionel Messi 64' goal
  • Lionel Messi 88' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Haquin 24'
  • yellowcard Moises Villarroel 31'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Vaca 79'
Copa America
Jun 29, 2021 1.00am
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Erwin Saavedra 60' goal
  • Rodrigo Ramallo 86' yellowcard
  • Diego Wayar 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Papu 6'
  • goal Lionel Messi 33'
  • goal Lionel Messi 42'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 65'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 90'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 13, 2020 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marcelo Moreno 24' goal
  • Gabriel Valverde 38' yellowcard
  • Jose Maria Carrasco 59' yellowcard
  • Saul Torres 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Tagliafico 16'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 45'
  • goal Joaquin Correa 79'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 90'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Alejandro Palacios 90'+1'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Mar 28, 2017 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Juan Arce 31' goal
  • Marcelo Moreno 52' goal
International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2015 12.00am
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Angel di Maria 25' goal
  • Sergio Aguero 29' goal
  • Sergio Aguero 31' goal
  • Nicolas Otamendi 48' yellowcard
  • Sergio Aguero 51' goal
  • Angel di Maria 55' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Gamarra 28'
  • yellowcard Miguel Hurtado 53'

Build-up

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