International Friendlies
Jun 19, 2023 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno
  • goal Leandro Paredes 38'
  • goal Cristian Romero 55'

Indonesia vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 14, 2023 1.30pm
Indonesia 0 - 0 Palestine

Argentina

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 15, 2023 1.00pm
Argentina 2 - 0 Australia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Argentina win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result

Indonesia 43.96% ▲ (+30.72)
Draw 22.46% ▲ (+2.18)
Argentina 33.58% ▼ (-32.89)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.55% ▲ (+20.62)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.08% ▲ (+14.07)
Under 2.5 33.93% ▼ (-14.06)
Over 3.5 44.22% ▲ (+14.38)
Under 3.5 55.78% ▼ (-14.38)
Over 4.5 25.63% ▲ (+11.07)
Under 4.5 74.37% ▼ (-11.07)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5 83.9% ▲ (+30.76)
Under 0.5 16.1% ▼ (-30.76)
Over 1.5 54.5% ▲ (+36.88)
Under 1.5 45.5% ▼ (-36.88)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 79.32% ▼ (-7.13)
Under 0.5 20.68% ▲ (+7.13)
Over 1.5 46.73% ▼ (-12.64)
Under 1.5 53.27% ▲ (+12.64)

Score analysis

Indonesia 43.96%
Draw 22.46%
Argentina 33.58%
Indonesia
2-1 @ 8.75% ▲ (+5.11)
1-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+1.27)
2-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+3.73)
3-1 @ 5.33% ▼ (-86.78)
3-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-87.91)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▼ (-42.72)
4-1 @ 2.43% ▼ (-15.07)
4-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-15.59)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-7.16)
4-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-10.60)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 43.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.9% ▲ (+3.26)
0-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-3.03)
3-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-59.10)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.46%
Argentina
1-2 @ 7.55% ▼ (-2.07)
0-1 @ 5.25% ▼ (-7.45)
0-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-8.55)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▼ (-2.44)
2-3 @ 3.62% ▲ (+1.20)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-6.28)
1-4 @ 1.56% ▼ (-1.64)
2-4 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 33.58%