Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Argentina win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.