Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 42.98%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.32%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.