World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Colombia
2 - 1
Brazil

Diaz (75', 75', 79', 79')
Sanchez (20'), Sanchez (20')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Martinelli (4', 4')
Diniz (21'), Diniz (21'), Lodi (78'), Lodi (78'), Pepe (90'), (90'), Pepe (90'), (90')

Reaction

Real Madrid attacker Vinicius Junior on September 27, 2023

Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior could be out for the next month with the thigh problem that he suffered while representing Brazil, according to a report.

Nov 17, 16:08

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Thursday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier against Colombia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Colombia
Wednesday, October 18 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	7	12
2	Uruguay	4	3	7
3	Brazil	4	3	7
4	Venezuela	4	3	7
5	Ecuador	4	1	7
6	Colombia	4	1	6
7	Paraguay	4	-1	4
8	Chile	4	-3	4
9	Peru	4	-5	1
10	Bolivia	4	-9	0

Brazil

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uruguay 2-0 Brazil
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	7	12
2	Uruguay	4	3	7
3	Brazil	4	3	7
4	Venezuela	4	3	7
5	Ecuador	4	1	7
6	Colombia	4	1	6
7	Paraguay	4	-1	4
8	Chile	4	-3	4
9	Peru	4	-5	1
10	Bolivia	4	-9	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Brazil
38.48% ( -2.51)	29.26% ( -0.49)	32.26% ( 3)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Colombia	Draw	Brazil
1-0 @ 13.05% ( -1.26) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.81) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.9% Total : 38.47%	1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.97) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.34) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.25%	0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.62) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.38) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.01% Total : 32.25%