World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 18, 2023 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Ronald Araujo 10' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 10' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 21' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 21' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 42' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 42' goal
  • Nahitan Nandez 57' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 57' yellowcard
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 77' goal
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 77' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrygo 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Rodrygo 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 71'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 71'
  • yellowcard Ederson 77'
  • yellowcard Ederson 77'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 83'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 83'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 89'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 89'

Uruguay vs Brazil - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Oct 12, 2023 9.30pm
Colombia 2 - 2 Uruguay

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 1.30am
Brazil 1 - 1 Venezuela

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result

Uruguay 40.54% (-0.68)
Draw 28.36% (+0.24)
Brazil 31.09% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.93% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.82% (-0.69)
Under 2.5 60.18% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 19.62% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 80.38% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 8.12% (-0.31)
Under 4.5 91.88% (+0.31)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5 70.9% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 29.1% (+0.72)
Over 1.5 34.98% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 65.02% (+0.90)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5 64.79% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 35.21% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 28.03% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.97% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Uruguay 40.53%
Draw 28.35%
Brazil 31.09%
Uruguay
1-0 @ 12.64% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 40.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.2% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 10.24% (+0.26)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.35%
Brazil
0-1 @ 10.69% (+0.26)
1-2 @ 6.89% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.58% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 31.09%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 15, 2021 1.30am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Neymar 10' goal
  • Raphinha 18' goal
  • Fabinho 43' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 58' goal
  • Gabriel Barbosa 83' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Valverde 47'
  • yellowcard Edinson Cavani 70'
  • goal Luis Suarez 77'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 90'+3'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Nov 17, 2020 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Arthur 33'
  • goal Richarlison 45'
International Friendlies
Nov 16, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium (London)
  • Douglas Costa 40' yellowcard
  • Walace 43' yellowcard
  • Neymar 76' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Torreira 24'
  • yellowcard Mathias Suarez 36'
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 41'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 75'
  • yellowcard Martin Caceres 80'
  • yellowcard Edinson Cavani 86'
Confederations Cup
Jun 26, 2013 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Fred 0' goal
  • Paulinho 0' goal
  • goal Edinson Cavani 0'
World Cup
Jan 1, 1970 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Maracana
  • Juan Alberto Schiaffino 66' goal
  • Alcides Ghiggia 79' goal
  • goal Friaca 47'