World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 17, 2023 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Adam Bareiro 42' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Avalos 62' goal
  • Antonio Sanabria 69' goal
  • Hector Villalba 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Roca 42'
  • yellowcard Moises Villarroel 42'
  • yellowcard Henry Vaca 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Luis Haquin 59'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Villamil 68'

Paraguay vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 12.00am
Argentina 1 - 0 Paraguay

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 12.00am
Bolivia 1 - 2 Ecuador

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.34%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paraguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paraguay.

Result

Paraguay 70.98% (+1.02)
Draw 19.41% (-0.66)
Bolivia 9.61% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.35% (+0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.88% (+1.53)
Under 2.5 53.13% (-1.52)
Over 3.5 25.3% (+1.28)
Under 3.5 74.7% (-1.28)
Over 4.5 11.55% (+0.81)
Under 4.5 88.45% (-0.81)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 86.21% (+0.80)
Under 0.5 13.79% (-0.80)
Over 1.5 58.9% (+1.56)
Under 1.5 41.11% (-1.56)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5 43.32% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 56.68% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 11.14% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 88.86% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Paraguay 70.98%
Draw 19.41%
Bolivia 9.61%
Paraguay
1-0 @ 15.48% (-0.49)
2-0 @ 15.34% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 10.13% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 8.71% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.75% (+0.19)
4-0 @ 5.02% (+0.28)
4-1 @ 2.85% (+0.17)
5-0 @ 1.99% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 1.63% (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.13% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 70.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.22)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.48)
2-2 @ 2.47% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.41%
Bolivia
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 2.5% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.26% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 9.61%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 14, 2021 9.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rodrigo Ramallo 21' goal
  • Rodrigo Ramallo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Moises Villarroel 53' goal
  • Juan Carlos Arce 78' yellowcard
  • Victor Abrego 84' goal
  • Roberto Fernandez 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Angel Cardozo 43'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 82'
Copa America
Jun 15, 2021 1.00am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Santiago Arzamendia 8' yellowcard
  • Alberto Espinola 45'+11' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Romero 62' goal
  • Angel Romero 65' goal
  • Angel Romero 80' goal
  • goal Erwin Saavedra 10'
  • yellowcard Diego Bejarano 29'
  • yellowcard Jaume Cuellar Mendoza 38'
  • yellowcard Jorge Flores 40'
  • redcard Jaume Cuellar Mendoza 45'+9'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Nov 17, 2020 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Angel Romero 19' goal
  • Angel Romero 72' goal
  • goal Marcelo Moreno 41'
  • goal Boris Cespedes 45'