World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 17, 2023 at 11.30pm UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Paraguay
1 - 0
Bolivia

Avalos (62'), Sanabria (69')
Bareiro (42'), Villalba (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Roca (42'), Villarroel (42'), Vaca (45+2'), Haquin (59'), Villamil (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Paraguay
Friday, October 13 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	5	9
2	Brazil	3	5	7
3	Ecuador	3	1	6
4	Colombia	3	1	5
5	Uruguay	3	1	4
6	Chile	3	0	4
7	Venezuela	3	0	4
8	Paraguay	3	-2	1
9	Peru	3	-3	1
10	Bolivia	3	-8	0

Bolivia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Bolivia 1-2 Ecuador
Friday, October 13 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	5	9
2	Brazil	3	5	7
3	Ecuador	3	1	6
4	Colombia	3	1	5
5	Uruguay	3	1	4
6	Chile	3	0	4
7	Venezuela	3	0	4
8	Paraguay	3	-2	1
9	Peru	3	-3	1
10	Bolivia	3	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.34%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paraguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paraguay.

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Bolivia
70.98% ( 1.02)	19.41% ( -0.66)	9.61% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 37.35% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.88% (

1.52)

53.13% (

-1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.3% (

1.28)

74.7% (

-1.27)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.21% (

0.8)

13.79% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.9% (

1.56)

41.11% (

-1.55)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.32% (

0.2)

56.68% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.14% (

0.11)

88.86% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Paraguay 70.98%

Bolivia 9.61%

Draw 19.41%

Paraguay	Draw	Bolivia
1-0 @ 15.48% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 15.34% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.17) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.94% Total : 70.98%	1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.41%	0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.42% Total : 9.61%