/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffralog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fchilog.png)
-
Youssouf Fofana
18'
-
Randal Kolo
25'
-
Olivier Giroud
72'
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Marcelino Nunez
6'
-
Dario Osorio
82'
France vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F13%2Feduardo-camavinga.JPG)
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F42%2Ffrance.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Ffrance.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Chile had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
Result
France
65.29%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
21.03%
▼
(-0.01)
Chile
13.67%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
44.82%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.87%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
50.12%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
27.91%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
72.09%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
13.25%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
86.75%
▼
(-0.04)
France Goals
Over 0.5
85.41%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
14.59%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
57.33%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
42.67%
▼
(-0.03)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5
52.48%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
47.51%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
17.12%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
82.87%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
France
65.29%
Draw
21.03%
Chile
13.67%
France
1-0
@
13.34%
▼
(-0.02)
2-0 @ 12.84% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 65.29%
2-0 @ 12.84% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 65.29%
Draw
1-1
@
9.93%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.03%
0-0 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.03%
Chile
0-1
@
5.16%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 13.67%
1-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 13.67%
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F46%2Fdidier-deschamps.jpg)