Friendlies 1

Mar 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

France
3 - 2
Chile

Fofana (18'), Kolo (25'), Giroud (72')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Nunez (6'), Osorio (82')

Reaction

France midfielder Eduardo Camavinga on March 26, 2024

Real Madrid's Eduardo Camavinga suffers ankle injury in France clash

Real Madrid midfielder Eduardo Camavinga is forced off during France's international friendly against Chile with a suspected ankle injury.

Mar 26, 21:49

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between France and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how France could line up in their friendly against Chile at the Stade Velodrome on Tuesday night.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: France 0-2 Germany
Saturday, March 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	8	26	22
2	Netherlands	8	10	18
3	Greece	8	6	13
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	8	-41	0

Chile

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Albania 0-3 Chile
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Chile had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
France	Draw	Chile
65.29% ( -0.02)	21.03% ( -0)	13.67% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 44.82% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87% (

0.05)

50.12% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.91% (

0.05)

72.09% (

-0.05)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.41% (

0.01)

14.59% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.33% (

0.02)

42.67% (

-0.02)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.48% (

0.07)

47.51% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.12% (

0.05)

82.87% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

France 65.29%

Chile 13.67%

Draw 21.03%

France	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 65.29%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.03%	0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.67%