Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Germany had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Germany win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.