/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgerlog.png)
-
Carlos Uriel
37'
-
Erick Sanchez
47'
-
Edson Alvarez
59'
-
Antonio Rudiger
25'
-
Niclas Fullkrug
51'
-
Niclas Fullkrug
51'
-
Robin Gosens
64'
-
Robin Gosens
64'
Mexico vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Filkay-gundogan.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F41%2Fjamal-musiala-joe-scally.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Mexico win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result
Mexico
28.57%
▼
(-0.36)
Draw
24.21%
▲
(+0.19)
Germany
47.23%
▲
(+0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
57.42%
▼
(-0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.24%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 2.5
44.76%
▲
(+1.08)
Over 3.5
32.88%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 3.5
67.12%
▲
(+1.05)
Over 4.5
16.71%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 4.5
83.29%
▲
(+0.77)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
70.95%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 0.5
29.05%
▲
(+0.81)
Over 1.5
35.04%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 1.5
64.96%
▲
(+1.01)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5
80.93%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 0.5
19.08%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 1.5
49.32%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 1.5
50.68%
▲
(+0.60)
Score analysis
Mexico
28.57%
Draw
24.2%
Germany
47.23%
Mexico
2-1
@
7.02%
▼
(-0.07)
1-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 28.57%
1-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 28.57%
Draw
1-1
@
11.34%
▲
(+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.26)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.2%
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.26)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.2%
Germany
1-2
@
9.4%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.33)
0-2 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.23%
0-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.33)
0-2 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.23%