International Friendlies
Oct 15, 2023 2.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Jorge Sanchez 53' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 57' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 72' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 18'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 18'
  • yellowcard Joseph Aidoo 24'
  • yellowcard Joseph Aidoo 24'

Mexico vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 13, 2023 1.00am
Mexico 3 - 3 Uzbekistan

Ghana

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 5.00pm
Ghana 3 - 1 Liberia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result

Mexico 51.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 25.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Ghana 22.68% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.66% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 54.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.72% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 10.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 89.1% ▼ (-0.02)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 79.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 20.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 46.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.71% ▼ (-0.03)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5 60.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 39.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 24.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 75.82% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mexico 51.89%
Draw 25.42%
Ghana 22.68%
Mexico
1-0 @ 12.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 51.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.42%
Ghana
0-1 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 22.68%