Friendlies 1

Oct 15, 2023 at 2am UK

Estadio Azteca

Mexico
2 - 0
Ghana

Lozano (57', 57', 57', 57', 57', 57', 57', 57', 57', 57', 57', 57', 57', 57', 57'), Uriel (72', 72', 72', 72', 72', 72', 72', 72', 72', 72', 72', 72')
Sanchez (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Partey (18'), Partey (18'), Aidoo (24'), Aidoo (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Mexico and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mexico 3-3 Uzbekistan
Wednesday, September 13 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mexico	3	5	6
2	Qatar	3	0	4
3	Honduras	3	-3	4
4	Haiti	3	-2	3

Ghana

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Ghana 3-1 Liberia
Tuesday, September 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	South Korea	3	0	4
3	Uruguay	3	0	4
4	Ghana	3	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Ghana
51.91% ( 0.01)	25.42% ( -0.01)	22.68% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.14% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.66% (

0.04)

54.34% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.28% (

0.03)

75.72% (

-0.03)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05% (

0.02)

20.96% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.3% (

0.03)

53.71% (

-0.03)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.9% (

0.02)

39.11% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.18% (

0.02)

75.82% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Mexico 51.89%

Ghana 22.68%

Draw 25.42%

Mexico	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 51.89%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.68%