Friendlies 1

Sep 10, 2023 at 3am UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Mexico
2 - 2
Australia

Jimenez (69' pen., 69' pen.), Huerta (83', 83')
Jimenez (69'), Jimenez (69')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Souttar (16', 16'), Boyle (63' pen., 63' pen.)
Duke (45+1'), Duke (45+1'), Metcalfe (46'), Metcalfe (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Mexico and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Panama
Monday, July 17 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mexico	3	5	6
2	Qatar	3	0	4
3	Honduras	3	-3	4
4	Haiti	3	-2	3

Australia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Australia
Thursday, June 15 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Australia had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.29%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Australia
69.59% ( -0.03)	19.22% ( 0.02)	11.19% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.1% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.62% (

-0.02)

48.38% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.49% (

-0.02)

70.51% (

0.02)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.25% (

-0.02)

12.75% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.98% (

-0.03)

39.02% (

0.03)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.4% (

0.02)

50.6% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.93% (

0.01)

85.07% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Mexico 69.59%

Australia 11.19%

Draw 19.22%

Mexico	Draw	Australia
2-0 @ 13.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.72% Total : 69.59%	1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 19.22%	0-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 11.19%