/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgerlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fukrlog.png)
-
Niclas Fullkrug
6'
-
Kai Havertz
83'
-
Joshua Kimmich
90'+1'
-
Viktor Tsygankov
18'
-
Antonio Rudiger
23'
(OG)
-
Viktor Tsygankov
56'
Germany vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F13%2Fhansi-flick.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F13%2Fgermany.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Ukraine win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result
Germany
60.81%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
20.66%
▲
(+0.09)
Ukraine
18.53%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
56.95%
▼
(-0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.46%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
39.54%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 3.5
38.11%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 3.5
61.89%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 4.5
20.64%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 4.5
79.36%
▲
(+0.24)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5
87.41%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
12.59%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
61.32%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
38.68%
▲
(+0.29)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5
65.15%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
34.85%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
28.41%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
71.59%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Germany
60.81%
Draw
20.66%
Ukraine
18.53%
Germany
2-1
@
9.93%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 60.81%
2-0 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 60.81%
Draw
1-1
@
9.58%
▲
(+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.66%
2-2 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.66%
Ukraine
1-2
@
5.05%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 18.53%
0-1 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 18.53%
