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UEFA Nations League

Ukraine national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Scotland national football team

Ukraine
0 - 0
Scotland

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Ukraine and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Armenia 0-5 Ukraine
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in Nations League

Scotland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-1 Rep. Ireland
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 45.43%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 26.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Ukraine win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
UkraineDrawScotland
26.24% (0.238 0.24)28.33% (-0.122 -0.12)45.43% (-0.115 -0.12)
Both teams to score 43.57% (0.471 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.08% (0.51000000000001 0.51)61.92% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.32% (0.375 0.38)81.68% (-0.373 -0.37)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (0.499 0.5)40.08% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (0.454 0.45)76.73% (-0.452 -0.45)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.18299999999999 0.18)27.28% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.237 0.24)62.72% (-0.234 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 26.24%
    Scotland 45.43%
    Draw 28.31%
UkraineDrawScotland
1-0 @ 10% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 5.94% (0.079 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.57% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.18% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 26.24%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 10.93% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 14.2% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 9.23% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 45.43%

How you voted: Ukraine vs Scotland

Ukraine
44.7%
Draw
22.0%
Scotland
33.3%
255
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2022 7.45pm
League B1
Scotland
3-0
Ukraine
McGinn (70'), Dykes (80', 87')

Stepanenko (18')
Jun 1, 2022 7.45pm
Scotland
1-3
Ukraine
McGregor (79')
Dykes (45'), McGinn (59')
Yarmolenko (33'), Yaremchuk (49'), Dovbyk (90+5')
Yaremchuk (5'), Malinovskyi (11'), Shaparenko (84')