Nations League
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Ukraine vs Scotland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 2.00pm
Armenia 0 - 5 Ukraine

Scotland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 7.45pm
Scotland 2 - 1 Rep. Ireland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 45.43%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 26.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Ukraine win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Ukraine 26.24% (+0.24)
Draw 28.33% (-0.13)
Scotland 45.43% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.57% (+0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.08% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 61.92% (-0.51)
Over 3.5 18.32% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 81.68% (-0.38)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 59.91% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 40.08% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 23.27% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 76.73% (-0.46)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5 72.72% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 27.28% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 37.28% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 62.72% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Ukraine 26.24%
Draw 28.31%
Scotland 45.43%
Ukraine
1-0 @ 10% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 5.94% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.57% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.81% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.39% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.18% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 26.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 10.93% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 3.86% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.31%
Scotland
0-1 @ 14.2% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 9.23% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.43% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.65% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.67% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 45.43%

Head to Head

Nations League
Sep 21, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • John McGinn 70' goal
  • Lyndon Dykes 80' goal
  • Lyndon Dykes 87' goal
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Jun 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lyndon Dykes 45' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 59' yellowcard
  • Callum McGregor 79' goal
  • yellowcard Roman Yaremchuk 5'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Malinovskyi 11'
  • goal Andriy Yarmolenko 33'
  • goal Roman Yaremchuk 49'
  • yellowcard Mykola Shaparenko 84'
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 90'+5'