Scotland vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.93%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.35%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Scotland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Scotland.