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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Armenia national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
 
Republic of Ireland national football team

Armenia
1 - 0
Rep. Ireland

Spertsyan (74')
Mkrtchyan (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Duffy (9'), Hendrick (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Armenia and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

Last Six:
Last Game: Scotland 2-0 Armenia
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Ukraine vs. Armenia
Saturday, June 11 at 2pm in Nations League

Republic of Ireland

Last Six:
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 Ukraine
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Rep. Ireland vs. Scotland
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Armenia 1-2 Republic of Ireland

 Despite Republic of Ireland being the favourites to prevail at the weekend, we cannot help but think that the visitors will not have it all their own way. Nevertheless, on the back of a lengthy unbeaten streak, the Boys In Green may have the confidence to edge a competitive game in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
ArmeniaDrawRepublic of Ireland
34.24% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 26.48% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 39.28% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.6% (0.012 0.01)52.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)74.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)29.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)64.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.12% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)61.18% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Armenia 34.24%
    Republic of Ireland 39.28%
    Draw 26.48%
ArmeniaDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 34.24%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 39.28%

How you voted: Armenia vs Rep. Ireland

Armenia
16.7%
Draw
13.3%
Republic of Ireland
70.0%
120
rhs 2.0
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