UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 11, 2022 at 5pm UK

Aviva Stadium

Rep. Ireland
3 - 0
Scotland

Browne (20'), Parrott (28'), Obafemi (51')
Duffy (60'), Robinson (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Christie (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Republic of Ireland and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

Last Six:

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 Ukraine
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Scotland

Last Six:

Last Game: Scotland 2-0 Armenia
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Scotland
24.18% ( 0.13)	26.99% ( 0.01)	48.84% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 45.39% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.28% (

0.06)

58.73% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.74% (

0.05)

79.26% (

-0.04)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.85% (

0.16)

40.15% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.21% (

0.14)

76.79% (

-0.14)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

-0.04)

24.16% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53% (

-0.05)

58.48% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 24.18%

Scotland 48.83%

Draw 26.98%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Scotland
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.18%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 13.77% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 48.83%