Republic of Ireland vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.