UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Ukraine
1 - 1
Rep. Ireland

Dovbyk (47')
Zabarnyi (49'), Yarmolenko (51'), Zinchenko (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Collins (31')
Browne (65'), Lenihan (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Ukraine and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

Last Six:

Last Game: Ukraine 3-0 Armenia
Saturday, June 11 at 2pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Republic of Ireland

Last Six:

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-0 Scotland
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Ukraine	Draw	Republic of Ireland
50.34% ( -0)	27.12% ( -0.01)	22.54% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 43.43% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.59% (

0.02)

60.41% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.45% (

0.01)

80.55% (

-0.02)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

0.01)

24.2% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.46% (

0.01)

58.54% (

-0.01)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.3% (

0.02)

42.71% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.96% (

0.01)

79.04% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Ukraine 50.34%

Republic of Ireland 22.54%

Draw 27.11%

Ukraine	Draw	Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 14.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 50.34%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.06% Total : 22.54%