UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Hampden Park

Scotland
3 - 0
Ukraine

McGinn (70'), Dykes (80', 87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reaction

Everton defender Nathan Patterson after suffering a knee injury while playing for Scotland on September 21, 2022.

Everton defender Nathan Patterson stretchered off for Scotland

Everton defender Nathan Patterson is stretchered off with what appears to be a knee injury while representing Scotland against Ukraine on Wednesday night.

Sep 21, 19:33

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Scotland and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

Last Six:

Last Game: Armenia 1-4 Scotland
Tuesday, June 14 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Ukraine

Last Six:

Last Game: Ukraine 1-1 Rep. Ireland
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Ukraine
54.25% ( -0.01)	23.39% ( -0.01)	22.35% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.87% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.45% (

0.06)

46.55% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.18% (

0.05)

68.82% (

-0.06)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94% (

0.02)

17.06% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.77% (

0.03)

47.23% (

-0.04)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.95% (

0.04)

35.05% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.2% (

0.05)

71.8% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Scotland 54.25%

Ukraine 22.35%

Draw 23.39%

Scotland	Draw	Ukraine
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.25%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.39%	0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 22.35%