Nations League
Jun 14, 2022 5.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 6' goal
  • Varazdat Haroyan 32' yellowcard
  • Arman Hovhannisyan 44' yellowcard
  • Arman Hovhannisyan 44' redcard
  • Eduard Spertsyan 47' yellowcard
  • Hovhannes Hambardzumyan 48' yellowcard
  • Kamo Hovhannisyan 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Stuart Armstrong 14'
  • yellowcard Che Adams 20'
  • goal Stuart Armstrong 45'+1'
  • goal John McGinn 50'
  • goal Che Adams 54'
  • yellowcard Scott McTominay 90'+1'

Armenia vs Scotland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 11, 2022 2.00pm
Ukraine 3 - 0 Armenia

Scotland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 11, 2022 5.00pm
Rep. Ireland 3 - 0 Scotland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.

Result

Armenia 29.62% (-0.05)
Draw 25.54% (-0.01)
Scotland 44.83% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.69% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.04% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 49.95% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 28.06% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 71.93% (+0.01)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 69.05% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 30.94% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 32.75% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.24% (+0.04)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5 77.75% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.24% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 44.32% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 55.68% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Armenia 29.62%
Draw 25.53%
Scotland 44.83%
Armenia
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.88% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.53%
Scotland
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 9.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.78% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.57% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.83%

Head to Head

Nations League
Jun 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Anthony Ralston 28' goal
  • Scott McKenna 40' goal
  • Callum McGregor 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Varazdat Haroyan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Eduard Spertsyan 67'
  • yellowcard Wbeymar Angulo 90'+3'