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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Armenia national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Scotland national football team

Armenia
1 - 4
Scotland

Bichakhchyan (6')
Haroyan (32'), Hovhannisyan (44'), Spertsyan (47'), Hambardzumyan (48')
Hovhannisyan (44'), Hovhannisyan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Armstrong (14', 45+1'), McGinn (50'), Adams (54')
Adams (20'), McTominay (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Armenia and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

Last Six:
Last Game: Ukraine 3-0 Armenia
Saturday, June 11 at 2pm in Nations League

Scotland

Last Six:
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-0 Scotland
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Armenia 0-1 Scotland

 After numerous fixtures in succession and humid temperatures expected in Yerevan, few people will expect many goals to be scored during this contest. Scotland will be wary of losing a second game in a row, but we feel that the Tartan Army will do enough to edge this contest by the solitary goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.

Result
ArmeniaDrawScotland
29.62% (-0.041 -0.04) 25.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 44.83% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.69% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.04% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)49.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)71.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)30.94% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)67.24% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.24% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (0.023000000000003 0.02)55.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Armenia 29.62%
    Scotland 44.83%
    Draw 25.53%
ArmeniaDrawScotland
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.62%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.83%

How you voted: Armenia vs Scotland

Armenia
21.5%
Draw
20.8%
Scotland
57.6%
144
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2022 7.45pm
League B1
Scotland
2-0
Armenia
Ralston (28'), McKenna (40')
McGregor (42')

Haroyan (45+2'), Spertsyan (67'), Angulo (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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