UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 24, 2022 at 2pm UK

Armenia
0 - 5
Ukraine

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tymchyk (22'), Zubkov (57'), Dovbyk (69', 84'), Ihnatenko (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Armenia and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Armenia 1-4 Scotland
Tuesday, June 14 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Ukraine

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Scotland 3-0 Ukraine
Wednesday, September 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
Armenia	Draw	Ukraine
38.69% ( 1.6)	24.69% ( -0.53)	36.62% ( -1.07)

Both teams to score 58.84% (

1.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.75% (

2.45)

44.25% (

-2.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.37% (

2.33)

66.62% (

-2.33)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.25% (

1.95)

22.74% (

-1.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.57% (

2.8)

56.43% (

-2.8)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

0.54)

23.83% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.99% (

0.77)

58% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Armenia 38.69%

Ukraine 36.62%

Draw 24.69%

Armenia	Draw	Ukraine
2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.69%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.6) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.72) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.62%