Nations League
Sep 24, 2022 2.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Oleksandr Tymchyk 22'
  • goal Oleksandr Zubkov 57'
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 69'
  • goal Danylo Ihnatenko 81'
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 84'

Armenia vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 14, 2022 5.00pm
Armenia 1 - 4 Scotland

Ukraine

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 21, 2022 7.45pm
Scotland 3 - 0 Ukraine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result

Armenia 38.69% ▲ (+1.61)
Draw 24.69% ▼ (-0.54)
Ukraine 36.62% ▼ (-1.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.84% ▲ (+1.89)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.75% ▲ (+2.45)
Under 2.5 44.25% ▼ (-2.45)
Over 3.5 33.37% ▲ (+2.34)
Under 3.5 66.62% ▼ (-2.34)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 77.25% ▲ (+1.95)
Under 0.5 22.74% ▼ (-1.95)
Over 1.5 43.57% ▲ (+2.80)
Under 1.5 56.43% ▼ (-2.80)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 76.17% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 0.5 23.83% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 1.5 41.99% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 1.5 58% ▼ (-0.77)

Score analysis

Armenia 38.69%
Draw 24.69%
Ukraine 36.61%
Armenia
2-1 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.22)
1-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.39)
2-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.34)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.29)
3-0 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.19)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.21)
4-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-94.59)
4-0 @ 1.09% ▼ (-94.92)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.60)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.69%
Ukraine
1-2 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.14)
0-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.73)
0-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.43)
1-3 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.16)
1-4 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-96.46)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.61%

Head to Head

Nations League
Jun 11, 2022 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Illia Zabarnyi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 61' goal
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 66' yellowcard
  • Oleksandr Karavaev 77' goal
  • Vitaliy Mykolenko 84' goal
  • Mykola Matviyenko 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edgar Babayan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Khoren Bayramyan 52'
  • yellowcard Sargis Adamyan 89'
  • yellowcard Taron Voskanyan 89'