Friendlies 1

Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Olympiastadion Berlin

Germany
2 - 3
Belgium

Fullkrug (44' pen.), Gnabry (87')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Carrasco (6'), Lukaku (9'), De Bruyne (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Germany and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Tuesday's international friendly with Belgium.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Germany 2-0 Peru
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Belgium

All competitions

Last Game: Sweden 0-3 Belgium
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	2	4	6
2	Belgium	1	3	3
3	Sweden	2	2	3
4	Estonia	1	-1	0
5	Azerbaijan	2	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Germany	Draw	Belgium
48.24% ( 0.26)	24.51% ( 0.08)	27.25% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 55.4% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

-0.56)

46.95% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8% (

-0.52)

69.2% (

0.52)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.47% (

-0.11)

19.53% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.57% (

-0.19)

51.42% (

0.19)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85% (

-0.54)

31.15% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52% (

-0.63)

67.48% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Germany 48.24%

Belgium 27.25%

Draw 24.5%

Germany	Draw	Belgium
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 48.24%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.5%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.25%