International Friendlies
Germany
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
Belgium
  • Niclas Fullkrug 44' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 87' goal
  • goal Yannick Carrasco 6'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 9'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 78'

Germany vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 7.45pm
Germany 2 - 0 Peru

Belgium

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Germany 48.24% ▲ (+0.26)
Draw 24.51% ▲ (+0.08)
Belgium 27.25% ▼ (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.4% ▼ (-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.05% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 2.5 46.95% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 3.5 30.8% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 3.5 69.2% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 4.5 15.23% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 4.5 84.77% ▲ (+0.37)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 80.47% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 19.53% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 48.57% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 51.42% ▲ (+0.20)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 68.85% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 0.5 31.15% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 1.5 32.52% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 1.5 67.48% ▲ (+0.64)

Score analysis

Germany 48.24%
Draw 24.5%
Belgium 27.25%
Germany
1-0 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 48.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.5%
Belgium
0-1 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.25%

Form Data

Germany 2 - 0 Peru
Costa Rica 2 - 4 Germany
Spain 1 - 1 Germany
Germany 1 - 2 Japan
Oman 0 - 1 Germany
England 3 - 3 Germany
Sweden 0 - 3 Belgium
Croatia 0 - 0 Belgium
Belgium 0 - 2 Morocco
Belgium 1 - 0 Canada
Belgium 1 - 2 Egypt
Iraq 0 - 0 Belgium

Build-up

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