Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Sweden
0 - 3
Belgium

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lukaku (35', 49', 82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Sweden and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Belgium

All competitions

Last Game: Croatia 0-0 Belgium
Thursday, December 1 at 3pm in World Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Croatia	3	3	5
3	Belgium	3	-1	4
4	Canada	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Belgium
31.25% ( 0.02)	28.42% ( -0)	40.33% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.83% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.66% (

0.02)

60.33% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.51% (

0.01)

80.49% (

-0.01)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.82% (

0.03)

35.18% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.06% (

0.03)

71.93% (

-0.03)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

-0.01)

29.29% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.74% (

-0.01)

65.26% (

Score Analysis

Sweden 31.24%

Belgium 40.33%

Draw 28.4%

Sweden	Draw	Belgium
1-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 6.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 31.24%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 40.33%