Friendlies 1

Jan 9, 2023 at 6.45pm UK

Estádio Do Algarve

Sweden
2 - 0
Finland

Nyman (38'), Asoro (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Sweden and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Algeria
Saturday, November 19 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Finland

All competitions

Last Game: Norway 1-1 Finland
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Finland had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Finland
53.22% ( -0.16)	25.4% ( -0)	21.39% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 46.64% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.5% (

0.17)

55.5% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.32% (

0.14)

76.68% (

-0.14)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.12% (

20.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.41% (

0.01)

53.58% (

-0.01)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.94% (

0.27)

41.05% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.4% (

0.24)

77.6% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Sweden 53.2%

Finland 21.39%

Draw 25.39%

Sweden	Draw	Finland
1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.2%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.39%