International Friendlies
Jan 9, 2023 6.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Algarve
  • Christoffer Nyman 38' goal
  • Joel Asoro 90'+3' goal

Sweden vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

Finland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Finland had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result

Sweden 53.22% (-0.16)
Draw 25.4% (-0.01)
Finland 21.39% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.64% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.5% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 55.5% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 23.32% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 76.68% (-0.15)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 79.12% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.88% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 46.41% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.58% (-0.01)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 58.94% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 41.05% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 22.4% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 77.6% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Sweden 53.2%
Draw 25.39%
Finland 21.39%
Sweden
1-0 @ 13.42% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 10.51% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.36% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.89% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 53.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.57% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.17% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.39%
Finland
0-1 @ 7.63% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.32% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.4% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.58% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.24% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-98.30)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 21.39%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jan 12, 2022 12.00am
Estádio Do Algarve
International Friendlies
Jan 9, 2022 12.00am
Estádio Do Algarve
International Friendlies
May 29, 2021 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robin Quaison 23' goal
  • Sebastian Larsson 58' goal
  • yellowcard Nikolai Alho 31'
International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2020 6.45pm
International Friendlies
Jan 8, 2019 4.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Eero Markkanen 22'
  • yellowcard Robert Taylor 69'