North Macedonia national football team
International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 5pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Finland national football team

N. Macedonia
1 - 1
Finland

Bardhi (75' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Antman (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Finland and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Montenegro 0-2 Finland
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League

North Macedonia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 N. Macedonia
Saturday, October 22 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawFinland
36.03% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)22.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)41.27% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 66.34% (0.17699999999999 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.52% (0.236 0.24)34.48% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.6% (0.266 0.27)56.4% (-0.268 -0.27)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (0.067999999999998 0.07)19.71% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (0.113 0.11)51.71% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62% (0.149 0.15)17.38% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.21% (0.262 0.26)47.79% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 36.03%
    Finland 41.27%
    Draw 22.7%
North MacedoniaDrawFinland
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.56% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 36.03%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.92% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.43% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.97% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.04% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.17% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.01 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 41.27%

How you voted: Finland vs N. Macedonia

Finland
47.7%
Draw
27.7%
North Macedonia
24.6%
65