International Friendlies
Nov 17, 2022 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Helsingin olympiastadion
  • Enis Bardhi 75' goal
  • goal Oliver Antman 37'

North Macedonia vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.30pm
Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 N. Macedonia

Finland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2022 5.00pm
Slovakia 0 - 2 Finland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

North Macedonia 36.03% (-0.08)
Draw 22.69% (-0.06)
Finland 41.27% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.34% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.52% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 34.48% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 43.6% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 56.4% (-0.27)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5 80.29% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 19.71% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 48.29% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 51.71% (-0.12)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 82.62% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 17.38% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 52.21% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 47.79% (-0.27)

Score analysis

North Macedonia 36.03%
Draw 22.7%
Finland 41.27%
North Macedonia
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 5.56% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 4.52% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 36.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.92% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.43% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.18% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.7%
Finland
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.97% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 4.04% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.06% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.77% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 41.27%