UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 4, 2022 at 5pm UK

Finland
1 - 1
Bosnia H'vina

Pukki (45+1' pen.)
Ivanov (4'), Nissila (41'), Lam (70'), O'Shaughnessy (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Prevljak (90+3')
Prcic (45'), Hotic (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Finland and Bosnia-Herzegovina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

Last Six:

Last Game: Finland 2-0 Montenegro
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Next Game: Romania vs. Finland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Last Six:

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-0 Romania
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Montenegro vs. Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Finland	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
46.59% ( 0.17)	25.1% ( -0.01)	28.32% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 54.3% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.23% (

-0.02)

48.78% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.12% (

-0.02)

70.88% (

0.02)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

0.07)

20.96% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.29% (

0.1)

53.72% (

-0.1)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.7% (

-0.12)

31.3% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35% (

-0.14)

67.65% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Finland 46.59%

Bosnia-Herzegovina 28.32%

Draw 25.09%

Finland	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.59%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 28.32%