Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Romania had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Romania win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bosnia-Herzegovina in this match.