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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Montenegro national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Romania national football team

Montenegro
2 - 0
Romania

Mugosa (66'), Vukcevic (87')
Jovovic (43'), Bozovic (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bancu (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Montenegro and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

Last Six:
Last Game: Finland 2-0 Montenegro
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: Montenegro vs. Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Romania

Last Six:
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-0 Romania
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Romania vs. Finland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Montenegro 1-1 Romania

 Having lost just one of their last four outings on home soil, Montenegro will not be easy to break down on Saturday - particularly for a Romania side which does not always deliver in the final third. As both teams will be back in action in midweek, starting out with a point apiece would represent an acceptable result for either nation, and a low-scoring draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Romania had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
MontenegroDrawRomania
44.13% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 26.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 29.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.39% (0.0040000000000049 0)53.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89% (0.0029999999999966 0)75.11% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (0.010000000000005 0.01)24.15% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.012 -0.01)32.97% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.012 -0.01)69.55% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 44.13%
    Romania 29.45%
    Draw 26.42%
MontenegroDrawRomania
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.45%

How you voted: Montenegro vs Romania

Montenegro
37.1%
Draw
28.9%
Romania
34.0%
97
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
League C4
Montenegro
0-1
Romania

Kosovic (10'), Jovovic (29'), Jankovic (34'), Ivanic (61'), Simic (67'), Vesovic (89')
Tucudean (44')
Keseru (28'), Manea (53'), Chipciu (70')
Sep 7, 2018 7.45pm
League C4
Romania
0-0
Montenegro

Balasa (55'), Pintilii (71'), Anton (85')

Mugosa (37'), Boljevic (41'), Tomasevic (47')
Mugosa (77')
Sep 4, 2017 7.45pm
Group E
Montenegro
1-0
Romania
Jovetic (75')
Vesovic (54'), Beciraj (85'), Stojkovic (89')

Chipciu (34'), Moti (86')
Sep 4, 2016 7.45pm
Group E
Romania
1-1
Montenegro
Popa (85')
Moti (41'), Andone (48')
Jovetic (87')
Simic (31'), Jovetic (88')
rhs 2.0
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