UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 7, 2022 at 5pm UK

Finland
2 - 0
Montenegro

Pohjanpalo (31', 38')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sipcic (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Finland and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

Last Six:

Last Game: Finland 2-0 Montenegro
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Next Game: Romania vs. Finland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Montenegro

Last Six:

Last Game: Finland 2-0 Montenegro
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Next Game: Montenegro vs. Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.

Result
Finland	Draw	Montenegro
45.71% ( 0.06)	24.41% ( -0.02)	29.88% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 57.6% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.1% (

0.08)

44.9% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.74% (

0.07)

67.26% (

-0.07)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.23% (

0.05)

19.77% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.18% (

0.09)

51.81% (

-0.09)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79% (

0.01)

28.21% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.1% (

0.01)

63.9% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Finland 45.71%

Montenegro 29.88%

Draw 24.41%

Finland	Draw	Montenegro
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 45.71%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.88%