Finland

2 - 0

Montenegro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.