Nations League
Jun 7, 2022 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 31' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 38' goal
  • yellowcard Nikola Sipcic 71'

Finland vs Montenegro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 4, 2022 5.00pm
Finland 1 - 1 Bosnia H'vina

Montenegro

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 4, 2022 7.45pm
Montenegro 2 - 0 Romania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.

Result

Finland 45.71% (+0.06)
Draw 24.41% (-0.03)
Montenegro 29.88% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.6% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.1% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 44.9% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 32.74% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 67.26% (-0.08)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 80.23% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 19.77% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 48.18% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 51.81% (-0.10)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5 71.79% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.21% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.1% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.9% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Finland 45.71%
Draw 24.41%
Montenegro 29.88%
Finland
2-1 @ 9.27% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.33% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.01% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 45.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.41%
Montenegro
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 29.88%