UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Romania
1 - 0
Finland

Bancu (30')
Puscas (60'), Nita (86'), Iordanescu (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alho (7'), Pohjanpalo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Romania and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

Last Six:

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-0 Romania
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Finland

Last Six:

Last Game: Finland 2-0 Montenegro
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Finland had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Romania in this match.

Result
Romania	Draw	Finland
38.38% ( 0.08)	25.16% ( -0)	36.46% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 57.16% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.59% (

-0)

46.41% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.3% (

-0)

68.69% (

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

0.04)

23.87% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.93% (

0.06)

58.07% (

-0.06)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09% (

-0.04)

24.91% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.47% (

-0.06)

59.53% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Romania 38.38%

Finland 36.46%

Draw 25.15%

Romania	Draw	Finland
1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.38%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 36.46%