Nations League | League C
Sep 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
N. Macedonia0 - 1Bulgaria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Georgia 2-0 N. Macedonia
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in Nations League
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: North Macedonia 1-1 Bulgaria
Bulgaria are heading into this clash with more momentum after their thumping win over Gibraltar in Krstajic's first game in charge on Friday. However, Macedonia should have enough about them to avoid defeat and hold onto second place in League C Group 4. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Bulgaria |
50.83% ( 0.01) | 27.78% ( -0.01) | 21.39% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.6% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
