UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

N. Macedonia
0 - 1
Bulgaria

FT(HT: 0-0)

Despodov (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between North Macedonia and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Georgia 2-0 N. Macedonia
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Bulgaria

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Bulgaria 5-1 Gibraltar
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
North Macedonia	Draw	Bulgaria
50.83% ( 0.01)	27.78% ( -0.01)	21.39% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 40.6% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.61% (

0.04)

63.39% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.26% (

0.03)

82.74% (

-0.03)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.69% (

0.02)

25.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.92% (

0.03)

60.08% (

-0.03)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.36% (

0.03)

45.64% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.56% (

0.02)

81.44% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

North Macedonia 50.83%

Bulgaria 21.39%

Draw 27.77%

North Macedonia	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 15.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 50.83%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.77%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.55% 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.39%